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	<title>Project White Horse Forum &#187; TOPGUN</title>
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		<title>What kind of war&#8230;? For Naval Aviators, their war always includes this</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2010/04/what-kind-of-war-for-naval-aviators-their-war-always-includes-this/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2010/04/what-kind-of-war-for-naval-aviators-their-war-always-includes-this/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Apr 2010 22:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[What Kind of War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fly Navy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=1176</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	Naval Aviation = Night in the barrel (no exceptions)

 ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><h3 style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #0000ff;">Naval Aviation = Night in the barrel (no exceptions)<br />
</span><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="480" height="385" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/S0yj70QbBzg&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="480" height="385" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/S0yj70QbBzg&#038;hl=en_US&#038;fs=1&#038;" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always"></embed></object></h3></p>
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		<item>
		<title>EEI#28 What kind of war WAS it? WWII carrier war in the Pacific</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2010/01/eei28-what-kind-of-war-was-it-wwii-carrier-war-in-the-pacific/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2010/01/eei28-what-kind-of-war-was-it-wwii-carrier-war-in-the-pacific/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Jan 2010 15:22:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elements of Essential Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[What Kind of War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Essential Elements of Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=999</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	

	From Thucydides, to Michael Yon&#160;today in Iraq and Afghanistan, &#160;confrontation, conlict, warfare, wars AND War have been recorded for some &#160;2500 years. We are discussing differences in this series.&#160; But Thermopylae to Gettsburg to Midway to Baghdad to mountains of Afghanistan, much remains the same for those who do the &#160;fighting.&#160; This is the carrier [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="344" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/9dR3h2HdnBQ&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="344" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/9dR3h2HdnBQ&#038;color1=0xb1b1b1&#038;color2=0xcfcfcf&#038;hl=en_US&#038;feature=player_embedded&#038;fs=1" allowfullscreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always"></embed></object></p>

	<p>From Thucydides, to <a href="http://www.michaelyon-online.com/" target="_blank">Michael Yon</a>&#160;today in Iraq and Afghanistan, &#160;confrontation, conlict, warfare, wars <span class="caps">AND </span>War have been recorded for some &#160;2500 years. We are discussing<strong><em> differences </em></strong>in this series.&#160; But Thermopylae to Gettsburg to Midway to Baghdad to mountains of Afghanistan, much remains the same for those who do the &#160;fighting.&#160; This is the carrier Navy piece &#8211; in color.</p>

	<p>Hat tip to Jim Dunkle for this one.&#160; Sometimes Supply officers do come through.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>EEI#14 Return of the Jedi</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/10/eei14-return-of-the-jedi/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/10/eei14-return-of-the-jedi/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 16:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[4GW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adaptive Leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Culture of Preparedness]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elements of Essential Information]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Learning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Team of Leaders (TOL)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=499</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	&#160;Essential Elements of Information for a Culture of Preparedness
Prior to Desert Storm, Gen. Norman Schwartzkopf created a small cell of four majors and a colonel to act as his intimate "brain trust" to plan his campaign. The group became known as the "Jedi Knights." All were graduates of the School of Advanced Military Studies, essentially [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><h2 style="text-align: right; padding-left: 30px;"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><span style="color: #800000;">&#160;<span style="color: #800000;">Essential Elements of Information for a Culture of Preparedness</span></span></span></h2><br />
<p style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><strong>Prior to Desert Storm, Gen. Norman Schwartzkopf created a small cell of four majors and a colonel to act as his intimate "brain trust" to plan his campaign. The group became known as the "Jedi Knights." All were graduates of the School of Advanced Military Studies, essentially the Army staff college's second year honors program. The success of <span class="caps">SAMS</span> was emulated by other services and became the model for a similar program at the Army War College focused on strategic studies.<br />
Success of the <span class="caps">SAMS</span> model provides a good template for an advanced learning program for specially selected strategic staff officers.</strong></span></p>

	<p><a href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/07/16/5-%e2%80%9cthe-big-picture%e2%80%9d-the-nexus-between-education-and-grand-strategy-essential-elements-of-information-for-a-culture-of-preparedness/" target="_blank"><span class="caps">EEI </span>#5 &#8211; </a><em><a href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/07/16/5-%e2%80%9cthe-big-picture%e2%80%9d-the-nexus-between-education-and-grand-strategy-essential-elements-of-information-for-a-culture-of-preparedness/" target="_blank">"The Big Picture"- The Nexus Between Education and Grand Strategy </a>-</em> begins with&#160;(<a href="http://zenpundit.com/">Mark Safranski at Zenpundit<strong>)</strong></a> questioning our educational preparedness to deal with 21st century problems.<br />
<blockquote><span style="color: #000080;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">Why would our societal&#160;</span></strong></span><a href="http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_boyd_ooda_loop.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #000080;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">orientation </span></strong></span></a><span style="color: #000080;"><strong><span style="color: #000000;">in complex, dynamic, fast moving situations be good when&#160;our educational system&#160;trains people only to think&#160;through simplified, linear, sequential problems? Strategic thinkers need to be able to see "the big picture" and handle uncertainty, or they cannot be said to be strategic thinkers. </span></strong></span></blockquote><br />
From the beginning,&#160;a <span class="caps">PWH</span>&#160;continuing point of&#160;critical concern&#160;has been that our leaders &#8211; civil, military, and private sector&#160;had neither the&#160;experience nor education necessary and sufficient to match the problems presented, and were therefore&#160;un-prepared and "unready" on September 11, 2001, not only for the attacks themselves, &#160;but for either near term or long term critial policy, strategic or operational decision making in the wake of the attacks.&#160; With great hindsight (?) some now claim, the initial responses were the result of high level panic coupled with political motivation.&#160; Could it be that we responded in a tactical sense based on complete lack of understanding as to the nature of the&#160;problem and defaulted to what we knew &#8211; a 20th Century mix of two violent&#160;&#160;world wars and a fifty year Cold War?</p>

	<p>As a second offering (<a href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/07/16/5-%e2%80%9cthe-big-picture%e2%80%9d-the-nexus-between-education-and-grand-strategy-essential-elements-of-information-for-a-culture-of-preparedness/" target="_blank">for the first, see <span class="caps">EEI</span>#5</a>) on a thread of "learning, unlearning, relearning," as an <a href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/07/04/1-essential-elements-of-information-for-a-culture-of-preparedness/" target="_blank">Essential Element of Information for a Culture of Preparedness</a>, this post provides an excerpt from Armed Forces Journal by retired Army <strong>Major General Robert Scales</strong>.&#160; General Scales is a former commandant of the <a class="mw-redirect" title="US Army War College" href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/wiki/US_Army_War_College"><span class="caps">US </span>Army War College</a>, now president of Colgen Inc., a consulting firm specializing in land power, war gaming and strategic leadership, and is a &#160;graduate of <a class="mw-redirect" title="West Point" href="/wiki/West_Point">West Point</a>, with a PhD in History from Duke University He served more than 30 years in the Army, commanding two units in Vietnam.</p>

	<p>As a major theme he notes <em>"The complexities of recent wars suggest that the reforms that dictated jointness, while necessary, are no longer sufficient. Today's conflicts demand officers who can lead indirectly and perform in an uncertain, ambiguous, complex, chaotic and inherently unpredictable environment. Our educational system needs to produce more men and women who can anticipate conditions that do not yet exist. They must be capable of dealing with unfamiliar cultures and an enemy who is unconstrained by Western values and methods of warfare. To be sure, the services possess many talented, and indeed some brilliant, practitioners of the strategic art. But the demand for strategists is greater than the supply. Our system of professional military education produces too few officers capable of understanding and dealing with the complexities of war at the strategic level."</em></p>

	<p>To that I would add/ask&#160; <strong><em>and is it not the same for all this country's leaders?</em></strong></p>

	<p>I highly recommend the <a href="http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2009/10/4266625" target="_blank">full article at Armed Forces Journal</a>, but here in part:<br />
<h2>Return of the Jedi</h2><br />
<h2><span id="more-499"></span></h2><br />
MAJ. <span class="caps">GEN</span>. ROBERT H. <span class="caps">SCALES </span>(RET.)<br />
It's that time again. About once a decade, the military services attempt to reform how they educate officers. This time, the catalyst is a series of Senate and House hearings on how well the services educate officers. The Defense Science Board will begin a study on military education reform soon. The defense intellectual blogosphere is electric with calls for reform. Other creative ideas for reform will follow in the coming days. And all will fail.</p>

	<p>They will fail because the services will not be able to attract the brightest and groom them through proper schooling for positions of responsibility unless the intellectually gifted are rewarded with selection for promotion and command. Unless intellectual excellence is tied to the services' personnel systems, true reform is impossible. Only once in the past century have powers of reform overcome the cultural glue that binds together the services' systems of professional rewards. In the mid-1980s, Rep. Ike Skelton, D-Mo., as part of the Goldwater-Nichols legislation, forced the services to learn how to operate efficiently &#8211; the essence of "jointness." Skelton's effort gained traction because of the failure of the services to fight together as a team during the invasion of Grenada in 1983. Skelton leveraged the law to hold the services' reward systems for promotion and command hostage to a meaningful commitment to jointness. To ensure that his reforms would last, Skelton legislated that staff and war colleges bring together student officers from all services to study joint as well as service-specific subjects.</p>

	<p>The complexities of recent wars suggest that the reforms that dictated jointness, while necessary, are no longer sufficient. Today's conflicts demand officers who can lead indirectly and perform in an uncertain, ambiguous, complex, chaotic and inherently unpredictable environment. Our educational system needs to produce more men and women who can anticipate conditions that do not yet exist. They must be capable of dealing with unfamiliar cultures and an enemy who is unconstrained by Western values and methods of warfare. To be sure, the services possess many talented, and indeed some brilliant, practitioners of the strategic art. But the demand for strategists is greater than the supply. Our system of professional military education produces too few officers capable of understanding and dealing with the complexities of war at the strategic level.</p>

	<p>We have too few of these officers because the services tend to accelerate the careers of officers who, early in their careers, show talent at the tactical level of war. Battalion, squadron and ship commanders habitually reward subordinates who mirror themselves. These subordinates tend to be officers who get things done, the go-to, can-do types who make their mark with managerial brilliance. The irony of the system is that the requirement for competence shifts from the tactical to the strategic at just the time in their careers when tactical officers leave command to move on to higher levels of responsibility at the colonel and flag level. As a result, too often we see skillful tacticians thrust into strategic staff jobs they are ill-prepared to perform.</p>

	<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;"><span class="caps">HOW TO DEVELOP STRATEGIC THINKERS</span><br />
</span></strong>We have met the archetype strategic warrior, and his name is David Petraeus. He is joined by a remarkably successful cadre of leaders who have demonstrated exceptional talent in the chaotic environments in Iraq and Afghanistan. Some names are familiar because they reached three or four stars: Chiarelli, Stavridis, Dempsey, Ward, Dubik, Eikenberry. Others are equally successful but less well known because of their lesser rank and profile. These are behind-the-scenes officers who have offered advice and insight to their flag officer bosses: Nagl, Yingling, McMaster and Mansoor, among a few others.</p>

	<p>Most of these proven strategic thinkers share a remarkably common provenance. Very early in their careers they learned to think critically and communicate strategically by attending a government-financed graduate program at a top-tier civilian university. Later, most of them sharpened these skills by teaching at a service academy. They all share (along with fellow intellectual travelers such as Adm. Mike Mullen and Marine Gen. Jim Mattis) a lifelong obsession with reading history and studying the art of war. At some time in their careers, they ignored the caution of personnel officers about spending too much time in school while under scrutiny for command selection. Today, this is a critical period for upwardly mobile officers because those who are screened for command are on the fast track to flag rank. Those who don't command will not grasp the brass ring. The proclivities of service culture cannot be easily overcome. The reality is that educational reform hinges on the ability to create a path for the intellectually gifted to be promoted to flag rank. But the climate today tends to reward tactical rather than strategic excellence. This must change.</p>

	<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;"><span class="caps">BEGIN AT THE TOP</span></span> </strong><br />
Flag officers with highly developed strategic skills are needed principally in the key operations, planning, strategy and civil-military billets &#8211; a relatively small cohort that embraces conservatively about a sixth of flag and general officers from all services. Consider a reform scheme that establishes a Senior Strategist Program (SSP) that would identify key strategic appointments and fence them for officers educated in a program of demanding, selective advanced schooling and preparation. ... As in any profession, our young officers are ambitious and seek promotion. They will see that intellectual excellence has become a prized credential for promotion, and they will actively seek higher education and intellectual preparation as the surest means for achieving flag rank.</p>

	<p>Promotion of these specially selected and accredited officers to flag rank would begin early in their careers &#8230; These officers would study the human and social sciences with particular emphasis on history, international relations, anthropology, economics, language and culture. Officer students would be expected to complete the course requirements for the Ph.D. A successful preliminary examination would waive the education and service requirements necessary to gain credit for joint service, thus leveling the career playing field by giving these officers the same amount of time to command as their conventionally educated peers.</p>

	<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;"><span class="caps">CREATING JEDIS</span></span></strong><br />
Prior to Desert Storm, Gen. Norman Schwartzkopf created a small cell of four majors and a colonel to act as his intimate "brain trust" to plan his campaign. The group became known as the "Jedi Knights." All were graduates of the School of Advanced Military Studies, essentially the Army staff college's second year honors program. The success of <span class="caps">SAMS</span> was emulated by other services and became the model for a similar program at the Army War College focused on strategic studies.</p>

	<p>Success of the <span class="caps">SAMS</span> model provides a good template for an advanced learning program for specially selected strategic staff officers. In this scheme, each service would be responsible for teaching their respective version of <span class="caps">SAMS</span>. The <span class="caps">SAMS</span> course would last two years with eligibility reserved principally for officers who completed the two-year program at civilian graduate schools. Others could be accepted provided they pass a very rigorous entry examination. During the course, <span class="caps">SSP</span> students would be required to finish their dissertations for the doctorate degree and demonstrate proficiency in a foreign language. Like today's <span class="caps">SAMS</span>, the course would be enormously rigorous. The curriculum would be history based. Students would follow the case study method and would be evaluated and graded by an experienced faculty, most of whom would be <span class="caps">SSP</span> program alumni. Graduates would then return to operational assignments and subsequent selection for battalion, squadron and ship commands&#8230;</p>

	<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;"><span class="caps">MAKING THE CUT</span></span> </strong><br />
.......The Skelton reforms have shown that often legislation is the only sure way to achieve what cultural friction cannot overcome. To be sure, no effort as culturally disruptive as this can be implemented quickly. At least five years would be needed to get it off the ground, and more than a decade would pass before <span class="caps">SSP</span>-qualified officers would advance to positions of authority. But if we are to create a body of gifted officers capable of dealing with the complexities of modern warfare, we soon must begin to break the stranglehold of the service personnel systems and offer the proper rewards to those young, talented and ambitious officers who are most gifted in the strategic art. <span class="caps">AFJ</span></p>

	<p><a href="http://http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2009/10/4266625" target="_blank">Complete article at <span class="caps">AFJ</span></a></p></p>
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		<title>RC#30 TOPOFF &#8211; Should Eagles Scream?</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc30/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc30/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 17:43:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[4GW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adaptive Leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intersections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medici Effect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resilient Community]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[combat training centers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPOFF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[worst case disasters]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=81</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	Invest in preparedness, not prediction&#8230;I will never get to know the unknown since, by definition, it is unknown. However, I can always guess how it might affect me, and I should base my decisions around that."&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;The Black Swan, Nassem Nicholas Taleb
&#160;

	In&#160; 2001, the Defense Science Board investigated what they termed&#160; "a revolution in training."&#160;&#160;
The superb [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><blockquote><em><span style="color: #0000ff;">Invest in preparedness, not prediction&#8230;I will never get to know the unknown since, by definition, it is unknown. However, I can always guess how it might affect me, and I should base my decisions around that."</span>&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;&#160;</em><strong><em>The Black Swan</em></strong>, Nassem Nicholas Taleb</blockquote><br />
<img class="alignnone" src="http://www.eastpdxnews.com/ktmllite/images/uploads/071019/9-06-TOPOFF-TentWard.jpg" alt="" width="198" height="121" /><img class="alignnone" src="http://www.eastpdxnews.com/ktmllite/images/uploads/071019/9-02-TOPOFF-Greenberg.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="121" /><img class="alignnone" src="http://www.eastpdxnews.com/ktmllite/images/uploads/071019/9-11-TOPOFF-PIO-Liasians.jpg" alt="" width="145" height="119" />&#160;</p>

	<p>In&#160; 2001, the Defense Science Board investigated what they termed&#160; "a revolution in training."&#160;&#160;<br />
<blockquote>The superb performance of our military in the 1990s was not just a result of technological superiority but equally of <span class="caps">TRAINING SUPERIORITY</span>.&#160;&#160; Analysis of air, submarine and other combat showed that individuals who survived an engagement in which a kill was achieved were much more likely to win the next one. This had been originally thought to be battlefield Darwinism. But the combat training approach invented some 30 years ago (now 40 years, see &#160;<a rel="bookmark" href="http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/22/scream-of-eagles-happy-birthday-topgun/"><span style="color: #000080;">Scream of Eagles &#8211; Happy Birthday <span class="caps">TOPGUN</span></span></a>&#160;) beginning with <span class="caps">TOPGUN</span>, showed this can be a function of learning.&#160;</blockquote><br />
<span style="text-decoration: underline;">It <strong><em>is</em></strong> possible to train to the "ace" level without bloodshed</span></p>

	<p>But they also noted that while there had certainly been a "Revolution"&#160; (Top Gun, Red Flag, National Training Center {NTC}),&#160; the results had not been appreciated nor expanded to other areas such as for joint warfare training. Indeed, today, there certainly appears to be no awareness of the truly spectacular results by the Department of Homeland Security, nor the public sector in general beyond that related to Maverick and Goose.</p>

	<p>In this light, worth considering is&#160;a recent story based on remarks by new Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano and the December 2008 Defense Science Board&#160; report&#160;<strong><em>Challenges to Military Operations In Support of National Interfaces:&#160;&#160;</em></strong>&#160;<span id="more-81"></span><br />
<blockquote>As governor of Arizona, ... Napolitano sent a searing two-page letter to her predecessor as secretary, Michael Chertoff, complaining that a $25 million national exercise in October 2007, which she and 23,000 other federal, state and local emergency workers participated in, was too expensive, too long in planning and 'too removed from a real-world scenario.'</p>

	<p>Now, in her first weeks as head of the Homeland Security Department, Ms. Napolitano has ordered a review of that program and several others, including cybersecurity, a strategy for protecting the border with Canada, and the vulnerability of power plants and other critical infrastructure.</p>

	<p>The directives implicitly raise questions about how well the Bush administration prepared the nation's defenses against a terrorist attack &#8230; Her pointed comments on the emergency preparedness exercise, which she repeated last month at her Senate confirmation hearing, offer a glimpse into how Ms. Napolitano may retool one the centerpieces of the Bush administration's domestic security architecture.</p>

	<p>'If we're going to be doing these kinds of things, and they are valuable, the underlying philosophy is a good one, but they need to be in my view streamlined,' Ms. Napolitano told the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs last month.</p>

	<p>Ms. Napolitano's frustration with the system in place for rehearsing responses to natural disasters and terrorist attacks has struck a chord among state and local emergency managers, many of whom have long complained that the Homeland Security Department and its crisis-response component, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, have failed to consult fully with local communities in disaster planning. <span style="color: #000080;">[For complete article and comments see RC#29]</span></blockquote><br />
Training concerns&#160; addressed in regard to the Department of Defense by the December 2008 Defense Science Board&#160; report&#160;<strong><em>Challenges to Military Operations In Support of National Interfaces:&#160;&#160;</em></strong>&#160;<br />
<blockquote>The Department of Defense must change its conceptual approach to homeland defense &#8230; (it) can no longer think in terms of the 'home' game and the 'away' game.&#160; There is only one game. <span style="color: #000080;">[Vol. II, Part IV, Chapter 13, pg 203]</span></p>

	<p>(and further) ... processes to ensure that plans are practiced and capabilities measured against readiness metrics are lacking.&#160; While there are many exercises (possibly too many) the exercises are highly scripted, unconnected to each other, and typically focus on top-down approach (where the supporting organizations are 'training aids' to the senior-level players) instead of bottom-up approach (focusing on an integrated and layered response beginning with the initial event). Even the national-level exercises have not been effective&#8230; often stopped before the more difficult issues of transfer of command, employment of specialized assets, or unknowns (like public panic) come into play. ... More worrisome than the disjointed nature of the exercises is the lack of any process for effectively 'learning from' the lessons of these exercises, (or) ... no mechanisms to promulgate &#8230; to the wider (HLS &#038; <span class="caps">HLD</span>) community.&#160;&#160;<span style="color: #000080;">[Vol. II, Part IV, Chapter 16, pg 250]</span></blockquote><br />
And what can be said about the future? Does the bottling up of al Qaeda limit significantly our vulnerability to terrorist attack?&#160; This report should give&#160;pause for reflection:<br />
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>Mumbai attackers had hit list of 320 world targets </strong><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/feb/19/mumbai-attacks-list-targets">http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/feb/19/mumbai-attacks-list-target s</a></p></p>

	<p><blockquote><em>Lashkar-e-Taiba ringleaders had ambitions well beyond causing mayhem in India, the Guardian has learned &#8211; </em>Western intelligence agencies have accessed the computer and email account of Lashkar's communications chief, Zarar Shah, and found a list of possible targets, only 20 of which were in India.&#160; The plotters behind the Mumbai attack, which left more than 170 people dead, had placed <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/india"><span style="color: #005689;">India</span></a>'s financial capital on a list of 320 worldwide locations as potential targets for commando-style terror strikes, the Guardian has learned.&#160; It suggests that Lashkar-e-Taiba, the outlawed terror group that planned much of the attack from Pakistan, had ambitions well beyond causing mayhem in India.</blockquote><br />
Remaining prepared, ready, and vigilant by our military, homeland first responders, private sector, and citizens would seem to still be of some importance.</p>

	<p>As worthy of historical reflection, remember that Napoleon's army was not only great in terms of winning battles, but when his enemy broke and fled the battlefield, his troops pursued relentlessly, bloodily &#160;insuring that there indeed, would not be "another day"&#160; to fight.&#160; <em><strong>Red-teaming</strong></em>&#160; the world right now, what better time to pursue the "far enemy" (us) and destroy his will and confidence to go about in the world than now in our time of immense financial crisis when everything and everybody is focused on pure survival &#8211; all running in one direction, our backs to all other aspects of the environment?</p>

	<p>Considering current preparation and readiness, there are two key elements missing from most training programs.&#160; First is the notion of <em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>dedicated opposing force</strong></span></em> and second, &#160;<span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>the need to include non-scripted decision making situations.</strong></span>&#160;&#160;&#160;Most training events and drills are based on availability of resources &#8211; both human and physical -&#160;necessary for the management of, or the consequences of, a specific disaster type.&#160; As stated previously, these&#160;mostly pre-scripted drills fail to address crisis development, eliminate the Observation and Orientation stages of the Observe Orient Decide Act (OODA) Loop by pre-determining their characteristics, thus eliminating uncertainty, and therefore, <em><strong>bypassing the essential element of critical command thinking.</strong></em></p>

	<p>The result: Level of readiness defined as instantaneous ability to respond to a suddenly arising major crisis based on locally available, un-prepositioned and un-mobilized countermeasure resources is either unchanged or decreased due to these flaws built into current philosophy of drills.&#160; Therefore, this&#160;approach reduces or negates achievement of performance that our technical superiority promises.&#160;</p>

	<p>Resolution suggests a <span class="caps">TOPGUN</span> or "combat training center" type approach for homeland security and defense education, training, and exercises.&#160; Elements would include:<br />
<ul></p>
	<p><li>Highly competent Opposition Force using "enemy" equipment &#038; tactics</li><br />
<li>Objective, no-holds barred feedback so that no longer does first person to blackboard (or Bar) win</li><br />
<li>Expectation of failure in the trained unit <span class="caps">AND</span> its commanders</li><br />
<li>Metrics &#8211; You can't know there is a training problem until you have ways to measure proficiency</li><br />
</ul></p>
	<p>Development of an <span class="caps">HLS</span>/HLD "TOPGUN" will require answering these Questions?<br />
<ol type="1"><br />
<li>Can the "train to the ace level" concept behind Top Gun, Red Flag, National Training Center at Ft Irwin, i.e. the combat training center or "CTC" concept be applied to hyper complex crisis, worst case&#160; disaster command control learning?</li><br />
<li>Would "first mission" exposure for operational level decision makers provide value added? (consideration that &#160;given funding constraints, daily normal real world law enforcement, fire response, emergency management, and job rotation, there may be only one opportunity in a three year cycle to expose the candidates. Can one exposure make a difference? &#160;What would be the impact of dynamic simulation interjected into the classroom?</li><br />
<li>What needs to be included in pre-exercise classroom and simulated command problems to make the learning and training effective? In particular, by who and how are cognitive elements and related decision making in crisis taught?</li><br />
<li>What kind of research needs to be done in this area?</li><br />
</ol></p>
	<p>&#160;</p>

	<p>In closing, based on reports like that on Mumbai and Secretary Napolitano's concerns, is there a need and a receptive ear&#160;for a <strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Scream of Eagles II</span></strong> from the first responder community?</p>
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		<title>Scream of Eagles &#8211; Happy Birthday TOPGUN</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/scream-of-eagles-happy-birthday-topgun/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/scream-of-eagles-happy-birthday-topgun/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2009 20:31:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Adaptive Leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resilient Community]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=79</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	

	Forty years ago, 3 March 1969, the first TOPGUN class&#160; began "graduate level" fighter pilot education and training at Naval Air Station Miramar&#160;at the Fighter Weapons School. They were there because eagles screamed.

	They were there because fighter pilots will not accept failure. In 1966 North Vietnamese fighter pilots (flying MiG 17 Frescos and MiG 21 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><img class="alignnone alignleft" style="float: left;" src="http://www.wingsoverkansas.com/photos/navy-weapons/250px-Topgun_patch.jpg" alt="" width="114" height="125" /></p>

	<p>Forty years ago, 3 March 1969, the first <span class="caps">TOPGUN</span> class&#160; began "graduate level" fighter pilot education and training at Naval Air Station Miramar&#160;at the Fighter Weapons School. They were there because <em>eagles screamed</em>.</p>

	<p>They were there because fighter pilots will not accept failure. In 1966 North Vietnamese fighter pilots (flying MiG 17 Frescos and MiG 21 Fishbeds) had accounted for only 3 percent of U.S. air losses. In the first three months of 1968, the MiG pilots now were responsible for 22 percent. The U.S. kill ratio was just about 2 to 1 (Air Force a little below, Navy, a little above) &#8211; as compared to the 10 to 1 of <span class="caps">WWII</span> and the Korean War &#8211; notably the worst ratio in the history of Naval aviation. Air crews were getting killed or becoming Hanoi Hilton residents, missiles and tactics developed to shoot down Russian bombers at long range were useless against an enemy intending to engage at close range coupled with U.S. rules of engagement prohibiting firing until positive ID obtained (which therefore put your aircraft inside the missile launch parameters.)</p>

	<p>&#160;<span style="color: #000080;"><em>Eagles screamed</em>. Sometimes leaders listen and do what they're supposed to do &#8211; pay attention to those who've been in the crucible, and then act to take care of their people. This time they did.</span> <span id="more-79"></span><br />
<p style="text-align: left;">&#160;</p><br />
<p style="text-align: left;">Vice Admiral Tom Connolly (Deputy Chief of Naval Operations (Air) and Rear Admiral Bob Townsend (Commander Naval Air Systems Command) together representing both the operational and technical sides, assigned former Commanding Officer of the <span class="caps">USS </span>Coral Sea, Captain Frank "Whip" Ault to find out what was wrong. Ault was the right man. His nickname/call sign, "Whip," came from Korean War days as Executive &#8211; soon to be Commanding &#8211; Officer of VA-55 on <span class="caps">USS </span>Essex. He had told his squadron pilots "I can out-drink you, out-fight you, and out-fly you," and there's nothing more obnoxious than a guy who can back up what he says. When being interviewed for consideration to be Executive Officer of the Navy's first nuclear powered aircraft carrier, <span class="caps">USS </span>Enterprise, he so outraged the interview game playing Admiral Hyman Rickover, that Rickover called his boss and told him Ault was the most irreverent Naval Officer he'd ever interviewed &#8211; but he got the job.</p><br />
Ault was joined by another fighter pilot, former CO of <span class="caps">VF 191</span> and 124, the F-8 Crusader training squadron, Captain Merle Gorder. By January 1969, they had delivered a report identifying 242 problem areas. Ault stated<br />
<blockquote>... we sent our people out there not trained for dogfighting. We sent the aircraft out there not equipped for dogfighting&#8230; and we got into nose-nose combat situations where neither the guy flying the airplane nor the airplane itself had ever fired a missile.&#160; Further, based on the expected nature of air war and our technical developments to intercept bombers at long range, we have lost expertise and continuity in 'being dogfighters' ... there is a need to establish a fighter weapons school to reverse this trend and to eliminate aircrew and ground personnel error&#8230;</blockquote><br />
Under Officer-in-Charge <span class="caps">LCDR </span>Dan Pedersen they worked and taught out of an old construction site type trailor, coming in at 0430, sleeping in the trailor, researching, writing, lecturing and most of all flying. They teamed with Captain Jim Foster's VX-4 and his project officers like Mugs McKeown (2 MiG kills in 1972) and Tooter Teague (MiG kill in 1972)&#160;for access to the highly classified Have Doughnut and Have Drill groups flying the MiG 17 and 21 out in the desert.&#160; They learned to fly like the enemy in his own aircraft and what they learned they passed on over and over again.</p>

	<p>Using Thomas (The World is Flat) Friedman's terms, they created a "different context, different narrative, different imagination" and they changed the Navy fighter pilot paradigm.</p>

	<p>By January 12, 1973 when the last air-air MiG kill occurred (by <span class="caps">TOPGUN</span> graduate Vic Koveleski, VF-161, <span class="caps">CAG 5</span>, USS Midway) Navy fighter pilot kill ratio had risen to 15 to 1. Air Force, (had not yet established any higher level training) ratios remained throughout the war at 2 to 1. These statistics helped to create a virtual revolution in air combat training.&#160; They had proven that what had been originally thought to be battlefield Darwinism can be a function of learning.<br />
<em><strong>It is possible to train to the "ace" level without bloodshed</strong></em><br />
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="font-size: small; font-family: Calibri;">&#160;</span></span></p><br />
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">In 1975, the Air Force initiated "Exercise Red Flag," a graduate level air-air course.</p><br />
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: #000080;">Happy 40th</span></strong></p><br />
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: #000080;">Fly Navy, The <span class="caps">BEST </span>Always Have</span></strong></p><br />
<span style="color: #808080;"><img class="alignnone alignleft" style="float: left;" src="http://images.barnesandnoble.com/images/15070000/15072347.JPG" alt="" width="108" height="159" />[Article sources: Friends and personal experience 1) while at the Naval Missile Center (NMC) Point Mugu (1970-1971) providing adversary support for Air Test and Evaluation Squadron Four (VX-4); 2) while flying with VA-56 off <span class="caps">USS </span>Midway&#160;in the Gulf of Tonkin, 1972-73 (MiG killers of VF-161 resided in Ready Room next to VA-56): and 3) Rober K. Wilcox's <span style="text-decoration: underline;">Scream of Eagles</span>]</span></p>

	<p>&#160;</p>

	<p><span class="caps">TOPGUN</span> today &#8211; from Wikipedia:</p>

	<p>On 11 July 1996, The Navy Strike and Air Warfare Center (NSAWC) consolidated three commands into a single command structure under a flag officer&#160; to enhance aviation training effectiveness. The Naval Strike Warfare Center (STRIKE "U") based at <span class="caps">NAS </span>Fallon since 1984, was joined with the Navy Fighter Weapons School (TOPGUN) and the Carrier Airborne Early Warning Weapons School (TOPDOME) which both moved from <span class="caps">NAS </span>Miramar as a result of a Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) decision in 1993. The Seahawk Weapon School was added in 1998 to provide tactical training for navy helicopters.</p>

	<p>&#160;</p>
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		<title>RC#29 National Security Exercises Need Change; TOPOFF meet TOPGUN &#8211; Maybe</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc29-national-security-exercises-need-change-topoff-meet-topgun-maybe/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc29-national-security-exercises-need-change-topoff-meet-topgun-maybe/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Feb 2009 15:15:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[4GW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resilient Community]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[School Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Intersections]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[worst case disasters]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=76</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	New York Times, 16 February, 2009&#8212;&#160; 
The homeland&#160;security secretary, Janet Napolitano, is re-evaluating the largest federal program for testing the country's ability to respond to terrorist attacks, one of several Bush administration initiatives she has ordered to come under review.


	

	

	PWH Chapter 1 (Part 1 of 2) The Constant Gardner http://www.projectwhitehorse.com/pdfs/B[1].%20PWH_Chapter1(1of2).pdf
(From Page 11) ... Studies clearly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><img class="alignleft" style="float: left;" src="http://tbn2.google.com/images?q=tbn:cwHmUg6aYBL62M:http://photos.upi.com/topic" alt="" width="76" height="112" />New York Times, 16 February, 2009&#8212;&#160; <img class="alignright" style="float: right;" src="http://tbn1.google.com/images?q=tbn:_vbp7yreNmEKpM:http://blog.wired.com/photos" alt="" width="95" height="106" /></span></p><br />
<p style="text-align: left;"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><em>The homeland</em></span><span style="color: #0000ff;"><em>&#160;security </em></span><span style="color: #0000ff;"><em>secretary, Janet Napolitano, is re-evaluating the largest federal program for testing the country's ability to respond to terrorist attacks, one of several Bush administration initiatives she has ordered to come under review.</em></span></p><br />
<strong></strong></p>

	<p><strong></strong></p>

	<p><strong></strong></p>

	<p><strong><span class="caps">PWH </span>Chapter 1 (Part 1 of 2) <em>The Constant Gardner</em> <a href="http://www.projectwhitehorse.com/pdfs/B[1].%20PWH_Chapter1(1of2).pdf">http://www.projectwhitehorse.com/pdfs/B[1].%20PWH_Chapter1(1of2).pdf</a></strong><br />
<blockquote>(From Page 11) ... Studies clearly indicate that highly trained (i.e., prepared) personnel exposed to a sudden crisis whose nature falls outside the scope of prior preparation commit grave errors of judgment and procedure. Current training and drills are focused on availability of resources, both human and physical, necessary for the management of, or the consequences of, a specific disaster type. These mostly pre-scripted drills fail to address crisis development, eliminate the Observation and Orientation stages of the Observe Orient Decide Act (OODA) Loop by pre-determining their characteristics, eliminate uncertainty, and therefore, <em><strong>bypass the essential element of critical command thinking.</strong></em></p>

	<p>Result: Level of readiness defined as instantaneous ability to respond to a suddenly arising major crisis based on locally available, un-prepositioned and un-mobilized countermeasure resources is either unchanged or decreased due to current flaws built into current philosophy of drills.</p>

	<p>In this high-end crisis, where orientation to the problem is so essential, where potential is very high for decisions that could save or cause to be lost the most number of lives &#8211; decision makers have <span class="caps">NOT</span> been exposed to and are not aware of ingrained decision making biases, <em><strong>nor trained, or exercised in complex decision making in chaotic, uncertain environments.</strong></em></p>

	<p>The transnational and "total warfare" aspect of 21st Century conflict and the always possibility of "Category 5" natural disasters dictates a need for changes in how we educate and train, including exercise design and evaluation processes. The chaotic intent of terrorism and the complexity of the required multilevel, multi-agency response dictate that <strong><em>learning opportunities in complex environments must be provided.</em></strong></blockquote><br />
<strong>RE-EVALUATION <span class="caps">OF NATIONAL SECURITY ORDERED</span></strong><br />
Please read in part below or the complete article at: <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/17/us/politics/17terror.html?pagewanted=1&#038;_r=1"><span style="color: #800080;">http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/17/us/politics/17terror.html?pagewanted =1&#038;_r=1</span></a></p>

	<p><span id="more-76"></span></p>

	<p>&#160;</p>

	<p><strong><img class="alignleft" style="float: left;" src="http://tbn2.google.com/images?q=tbn:cTIGMoX6WAir8M:http://www.blogcdn.com/" alt="" /></strong></p>

	<p><strong>RE-EVALUATION <span class="caps">OF NATIONAL SECURITY ORDERED</span></strong><br />
By Eric Schmitt<br />
16 February, 2009 The New York Times</p>

	<p><span style="color: #000080;"><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">In part</span></em></span>:</p>

	<p><span class="caps">WASHINGTON </span>&#8212; The homeland security secretary, Janet Napolitano, is re-evaluating the largest federal program for testing the country's ability to respond to terrorist attacks, one of several Bush administration initiatives she has ordered to come under review.</p>

	<p>As governor of Arizona, Ms. Napolitano sent a searing two-page letter to her predecessor as secretary, Michael Chertoff, complaining that a $25 million national exercise in October 2007, which she and 23,000 other federal, state and local emergency workers participated in, was too expensive, too long in planning and "too removed from a real-world scenario."</p>

	<p>Now, in her first weeks as head of the Homeland Security Department, Ms. Napolitano has ordered a review of that program and several others, including cybersecurity, a strategy for protecting the border with Canada, and the vulnerability of power plants and other critical infrastructure.<br />
The directives implicitly raise questions about how well the Bush administration prepared the nation's defenses against a terrorist attack. But they also reflect what homeland security analysts say is Ms. Napolitano's desire to apply her practical experiences as a border-state governor to several important homeland security policies.<br />
Her pointed comments on the emergency preparedness exercise, which she repeated last month at her Senate confirmation hearing, offer a glimpse into how Ms. Napolitano may retool one the centerpieces of the Bush administration's domestic security architecture.</p>

	<p>"If we're going to be doing these kinds of things, and they are valuable, the underlying philosophy is a good one, but they need to be in my view streamlined," Ms. Napolitano told the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs last month.</p>

	<p>Ms. Napolitano's frustration with the system in place for rehearsing responses to natural disasters and terrorist attacks has struck a chord among state and local emergency managers, many of whom have long complained that the Homeland Security Department and its crisis-response component, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, have failed to consult fully with local communities in disaster planning.</p>

	<p>&#8230; It will not take long to put Ms. Napolitano's new thinking to the test. <span class="caps">FEMA</span> is completing plans for the next major exercise, scheduled for late July.</p>

	<p>&#8230;The exercise this year, for the first time, focuses on preventing a potential attack, not just responding to a crisis, federal officials say.</p>

	<p>Emergency planners say they have already taken Ms. Napolitano's criticisms to heart, improving federal coordination with state and local partners in planning the disaster drill this summer, increasing the frequency of national exercises to every year from every two, cutting costs to encourage wider participation and providing feedback within 90 days to participants on what went well and what did not.<br />
"Most of them were already on the radar scope in one way, shape or form," said Steve Saunders, a retired Army National Guard major general who is an assistant <span class="caps">FEMA</span> administrator overseeing the national exercise division, "but her letter helped crystallize, I think, some of the things we needed to do."</p>

	<p>Mr. Saunders said he expected some changes as a result of the review ordered by Ms. Napolitano, but he cautioned in an interview, "don't mess around" significantly with this year's exercise or drills on the drawing board for 2010 and 2011 that will simulate an improvised nuclear bomb attack and a catastrophic earthquake.</p>

	<p>Mr. Saunders said states and localities had already started budgeting for those exercises. "If we start shifting near-term activities," he said, "it becomes fairly problematic."</p>

	<p>&#8230; States and cities routinely conduct emergency preparedness drills. Specialists in domestic security agree that it is also essential to hold large-scale national emergency exercises to test how federal, state and local officials and emergency personnel work together to prevent or deal with terrorist attacks.<br />
Congress directed the government in 1998 to carry out a national exercise program, formerly called Topoff for the "top officials" who participate. There have been four major exercises since then, simulating chemical, biological and nuclear attacks. The exercises now also include foreign partners, like Britain and Canada.</p>

	<p>Specialists in domestic security say Ms. Napolitano offers a new perspective to the program.<br />
"She brings to the table real-world experience as a governor, as a person responsible for implementing these programs where the rubber hits the road," said David Heyman, director of the domestic security program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.</p>

	<p>Ms. Napolitano's unhappiness with the program stems from her participation in the five-day October 2007 exercise, which simulated a dirty-bomb attack against Phoenix; Portland, Ore.; and Guam. It was planned to test how well federal, state and local officials responded to such a cataclysm.<br />
Within days after the exercise wrapped up, Ms. Napolitano complained to Mr. Chertoff that federal officials never contacted top Arizona emergency officials during the drill, did not involve her as much as she said she would have been during a real disaster, and gave participants too much advance information about the drill.</p>

	<p>"When you have months to prepare for an exercise and you know the exact scenario being contemplated," Ms. Napolitano said, "a large part of the exercise's value is lost."</p>

	<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/17/us/politics/17terror.html?pagewanted=1&#038;_r=1">http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/17/us/politics/17terror.html?pagewante d=1&#038;_r=1</a></p>
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		<title>RC#28 My Next Mission by THE &quot;Cat 5 General&quot;</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc28-my-next-mission-by-the-general/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/02/rc28-my-next-mission-by-the-general/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2009 05:23:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Adaptive Leadership]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Team of Leaders]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intersections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medici Effect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resilient communities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPGUN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOPOFF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[worst case disasters]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=72</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	

	
After more than 37 years of uniform service to the U.S. army and our nation, I will spend the second half of my life committed to a new mission: Creating a "Culture of Preparedness'' in America. Every effort I take, whether it is this new Web site, public speaking/lectures, fund-raisers, or the books I have [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><em></em></p>

	<p><em><span style="color: #000000;"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.generalhonore.com/Images/Rotating/Image3.jpg" alt="" /></span></em><br />
<blockquote><em><span style="color: #000000;">After more than 37 years of uniform service to the U.S. army and our nation, I will spend the second half of my life committed to a new mission: Creating a "Culture of Preparedness'' in America. Every effort I take, whether it is this new Web site, public speaking/lectures, fund-raisers, or the books I have written or will write, will be committed to this cause.</span></em></blockquote><br />
<span style="color: #0000ff;">How you think about the future determines what you do in the future &#8211; victim or part of the "Culture of Preparedness." </span></p>

	<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Please Visit General Honore's Website:&#160;</span><a href="http://www.generalhonore.com/"><span style="color: #0000ff;">http://www.generalhonore.com/</span></a></p>

	<p><span style="color: #888888;"><em>Ed @PWH</em></span></p>
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		<title>New Year, New Administration: Ready or Not?</title>
		<link>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/01/new-year-new-administration-ready-or-not/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/2009/01/new-year-new-administration-ready-or-not/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jan 2009 17:08:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Beakley</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.projectwhitehorse.com/?p=56</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[	Original Post: 22 Feb, 2007, Updated 11 Jan, 2009



After introducing Project White Horse 084640 in October 2006 as an electronic magazine focused on decision making in unconventional-hyper complex-worst case disasters, the next step for this website was the opening of a forum for exchange of ideas. Not intended as a day-day blog, the idea was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><div><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: "><strong><em>Original Post: 22 Feb, 2007, Updated 11 Jan, 2009</em></strong></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div><br />
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<div>After introducing Project White Horse 084640 in October 2006 as an electronic magazine focused on decision making in unconventional-hyper complex-worst case disasters, the next step for this website was the opening of a forum for exchange of ideas. Not intended as a day-day blog, the idea was to allow publishing &#8211; either by myself or others &#8211; of articles "between" editions.</div><br />
<div><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: ">The thrust was not/is not the day-day of terrorism or <span class="caps">HLS</span> but rather questions regarding the long term implications to leaders and decision makers in light of a combined result dynamic possibly un-faced by civilization to date&#8230;(Mother Nature, Information technology/Internet, Globalization, War carried out amongst the people)<br />
Question still pertinent after over seven years since 9-11and three years past Katrina&#160;: What if nothing leaders have ever been taught or experienced is sufficient to the problem? ...</span></div><br />
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	<p>The development and exploration of critical "operational threads" for future editions is still necessary.&#160;It would appear to me that education for wearing a uniform in Detroit &#8230; or in Baghdad requires a global focus as well as local. Lessons in one are needed in the other.<br />
Here are some issues under consideration:</p>

	<p>&#160;<br />
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<ol type="1"><br />
<li>Civil-military joint response and military integration with National Incident Command System mandate</li><br />
<li>How&#160; Organizations respond</li><br />
<li>Team of Leaders (TOL) concept as discussed in detail on previous posts (derived from Commander Leader Teams (CLT) concept). This has interesting implications/carry over for civilian Incident Command/NIMS</li><br />
<li>"Separated but Unified" &#8211; Common outlook for multiple organizations needed in the face of hyper complex disaster events. LL from decision making in the crucible of the Hanoi Hilton as intriguing example.</li><br />
<li>Network Enabled Operations and use of Knowledge management concepts in crisis preplanning and operations</li><br />
<li>Col John Boyd's <span class="caps">OODA </span>Loop and "Destruction &#8211; Creation" in the 21st Century</li><br />
<li>Overcoming a negative start <span class="caps">OODA </span>Loop</li><br />
<li>Regaining Relative Superiority (from <span class="caps">SPEC </span>Ops by Admiral William McRaven)</li><br />
<li>Defining the "The Enlightened Soldier" better yet "The enlightened <span class="caps">AND</span> resilient community" in the 21st Century</li><br />
</ol></p>
	<p>To date some of these issues have been addressed.&#160; But the events in Mumbai, the economic woes, continued violence in Gaza, the turmoil in Mexico all signify a continuing volatile world.&#160; Correctly labeled "War" or not, confrontation and conflict (open violence) persists.</p>

	<p>Are we well enough prepared for that we can predict?&#160;</p>

	<p>Are we ready for the Black Swan- the unknown unexpected?</p>

	<p>Discussion of these threads and others will continue to periodically posted. What are your thoughts? Suggestions? New Threads?</p>

	<p>Ed @ White Horse</p>

	<p>email me: projectwhitehorseatroadrunnerdotcom (note anti-spam format)<br />
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